Impact of climate change on the frequency and intensity of forest fires: perspectives, consequences and risks
https://doi.org/10.25587/2587-8778-2024-1-56-62
Abstract
In Russia, the year 2021 saw some of the largest forest fires in the country in decades. The area covered by fire in the Sakha Republic (Yakutia) amounted to almost 8 million hectares. The official cause was considered to be unauthorized burning of dry grass on agricultural lands. Other factors influencing the growth of the number of fires and the area of their spread should be considered. This article analyzes the impact of climate change on the frequency and severity of forest fires. The effects of climate change on forest ecosystems, the possible increase in the probability of forest fires and the amount of economic damage from the emergency situation in recent years were analyzed. The paper also presents an analysis of changes in the average monthly temperature on the territory of the Sakha Republic (Yakutia) according to climate modeling data, based on which possible changes in the number of forest fires due to temperature changes were identified. Recommendations for risk reduction and adaptation to changing climatic conditions in the context of forest fires are proposed.
Keywords
forest fires,
climate change,
Sakha Republic (Yakutia),
average annual temperature,
sustainable development scenario
Supporting agencies: The paper was prepared within the framework of the research work «Adaptation to natural emergencies in the new climate economy» (program «Sirius.Leto: Start your project. Season 2023/2024”).
About the Authors
P. O. Postnikova
Republic’s Boarding Lyceum
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Postnikova Polina Olegovna ‒ 11th-grade student
Yakutsk
S. P. Parnikova
M. K. Ammosov North-Eastern Federal University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Parnikova Sayaana Petrovna ‒ 2nd-year Master’s student, Institute of Finances and Economics
Yakutsk
N. I. Tananaev
M. K. Ammosov North-Eastern Federal University;
Melnikov Permafrost Institute SB RAS
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Tananaev Nikita Ivanovich ‒ Head, Research Laboratory of Climate and Northern Regions Ecosystems, Institute of Natural Sciences, M. K. Ammosov North-Eastern Federal University; Leading Researcher, Melnikov Permafrost Institute SB RAS
Yakutsk
O. T. Parfenova
M. K. Ammosov North-Eastern Federal University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Parfenova Olga Terentyevna ‒ Associate Professor, Department of Economics and Management of Territorial Development, Institute of Finances and Economics
Yakutsk
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Review
For citations:
Postnikova P.O., Parnikova S.P., Tananaev N.I., Parfenova O.T. Impact of climate change on the frequency and intensity of forest fires: perspectives, consequences and risks. Economy and nature management in the North. 2024;(1):56-52. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25587/2587-8778-2024-1-56-62
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